LLMs and Systematic Measurement Errors
Jan 1, 2026ยท,,,ยท
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J. Anthony Cookson
Maryam Fathollahi
William Grieser
Buvaneshwaran Venugopal
Abstract
Measures derived from Large Language Models (LLMs) are pervasive while researchers commonly treat such measures as observed data rather than generated regressors. For S&P 500 firms from 2005-2024, we show that LLM-derived measures contain non-classical measurement error driven by two distortions: omission and injection. Due to these distortions, LLM measures neglect meaningful terminology, shift meaning and reshape tone. Using the predictive content of omission and injection rates, we develop and apply a measurement error diagnostic to three settings: Item 1A risk disclosures, earnings calls, and direct-prompt measures. Measurement error is most severe for construct-style ratings of long disclosures, milder for the same constructs on shorter earnings-call texts, and substantially attenuated for direct-prompt measures, though the diagnostic reveals measurement-related contamination across all three designs.